Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Solomon Islands to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSolomon Islands to win ✗47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Papua New Guinea take on Solomon Islands on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at HFC Bank Stadium.
Form guide
Solomon Islands's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Vanuatu 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Papua New Guinea and 1.8 for Solomon Islands. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Solomon Islands to win at 2.38 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Papua New Guinea31%fair 3.27 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Solomon Islands47%fair 2.12 · @2.38
3.25Expected goals
1.43Papua New Guinea xG
1.82Solomon Islands xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Papua New Guinea 1.4 – 1.8 Solomon Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Solomon Islands to win✗
47%
2.12
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Solomon Islands / FT Solomon Islands✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.88
–
Form
Papua New Guinea – last 2
LL
27 Sep
@ Fiji
0–2
L
24 Sep
vs New Caledonia
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Solomon Islands – last 4
DWLL
24 Sep
vs Vanuatu
3–3
D
21 Sep
@ New Caledonia
2–0
W
30 Mar
@ St. Kitts and Nevis
2–4
L
27 Mar
vs Bulgaria
2–10
L
2.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.
What is the prediction for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
On our numbers Papua New Guinea have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Solomon Islands 47%.
How many goals will there be in Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Our predicted score is Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at HFC Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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