Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.26
9/10Rating
1.26Odds
1
Value bet: Mauritius to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMauritius to win60% · @1.95
Double chanceMauritius or draw82% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.46
Mauritius vs Djibouti preview and prediction
The match
Mauritius host Djibouti in the Friendlies on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Mauritius and 0.8 for Djibouti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mauritius to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Mauritius or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.26, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mauritius 1–0 Djibouti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mauritius60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
Djibouti18%fair 5.53 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.75Mauritius xG
0.82Djibouti xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mauritius 1.7 – 0.8 Djibouti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mauritius to win
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mauritius or draw
82%
1.22
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.24
Half-time result
Mauritius ahead at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mauritius / FT Mauritius
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.46
–
Form
Mauritius – last 2
DD
31 Mar
vs Somalia
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Somalia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Djibouti – last 2
WL
29 Mar
@ South Sudan
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs South Sudan
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mauritius and Djibouti.
Our pick is Mauritius or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Mauritius vs Djibouti?
On our numbers Mauritius have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Djibouti 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritius vs Djibouti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritius vs Djibouti?
Our predicted score is Mauritius 1–0 Djibouti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mauritius vs Djibouti?
Mauritius vs Djibouti (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USA4
Chile2
Mexico1
Peru1
Papua New Guinea1
Solomon Islands1
Fiji2
New Caledonia1
Seychelles0
Sri Lanka2
Lithuania3
Andorra0