União de Leiria travel to face O Elvas in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 19 September (18:00 WAT).
Form guide
O Elvas's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Fazendense 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União de Leiria's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Amarante 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 9.0 goals: 3.6 for O Elvas and 5.4 for União de Leiria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 99% and both teams to score at 73%.
Betting angles
Win chances: O Elvas 16%, draw 24%, União de Leiria 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (73%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
O Elvas16%fair 6.19 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
União de Leiria60%fair 1.66 · @1.50
9.00Expected goals
3.60O Elvas xG
5.40União de Leiria xG
73%Both score
99%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–76%
4–76%
2–75%
5–74%
3–54%
3–43%
From our goals model: O Elvas 3.6 – 5.4 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
73%
1.38
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–7✗
6%
15.81
–
Form
O Elvas – last 6
WWWDLD
13 Sep
@ Fazendense
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs São Roque (Açores)
9–0
W
23 Aug
@ Nazarenos
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Fátima
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Alcochetense
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 6
DWWWLL
13 Sep
@ Amarante
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Tondela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Leixoes
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers O Elvas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União de Leiria 60%.
How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 9.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is O Elvas 3–7 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 9.0 goals in total.
When is O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
O Elvas vs União de Leiria (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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