Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético CP to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceAtlético CP or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Atlético CP vs Lagoa preview and prediction
The match
Lagoa travel to face Atlético CP in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 19 September (15:30 WAT).
Form guide
Atlético CP's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to CF Os Belenenses 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lagoa's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with FC Serpa 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atlético CP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Atlético CP and 1.3 for Lagoa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético CP 64%, draw 22%, Lagoa 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético CP 2–1 Lagoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético CP64%fair 1.56 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
Lagoa14%fair 6.98 · @9.00
4.00Expected goals
2.68Atlético CP xG
1.32Lagoa xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlético CP 2.7 – 1.3 Lagoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético CP to win✓
64%
1.56
1.33
Double chance
Atlético CP or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Atlético CP ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético CP / FT Atlético CP✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Atlético CP – last 6
LWWWDW
13 Sep
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Oliveirense
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Olímpico do Montijo
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ SC Covilha
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Mafra
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lagoa – last 6
DWLDDL
13 Sep
vs FC Serpa
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara B
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Imortal Albufeira
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Aljustrelense
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Atlético Malveira
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ FC Alverca II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético CP and Lagoa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Lagoa?
On our numbers Atlético CP have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lagoa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético CP vs Lagoa?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético CP vs Lagoa?
Our predicted score is Atlético CP 2–1 Lagoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético CP vs Lagoa?
Atlético CP vs Lagoa (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castro Daire0
Portimonense1
Vitória de Sernache2
Varzim1
Salgueiros1
Feirense0
Oliveirense1
Penafiel2
Mafra1
Tirsense1
O Elvas0
União de Leiria2
Beira-Mar0
CF Os Belenenses2