Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
CF Os Belenenses to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.01
Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses preview and prediction
The match
CF Os Belenenses travel to face Beira-Mar in the Taça De Portugal on Saturday 19 September (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Beira-Mar's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Castro Daire 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Atlético CP 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CF Os Belenenses arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.4 for Beira-Mar and 3.1 for CF Os Belenenses. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beira-Mar 12%, draw 21%, CF Os Belenenses 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Os Belenenses to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Beira-Mar 1–3 CF Os Belenenses. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beira-Mar12%fair 8.60 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
CF Os Belenenses68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
4.50Expected goals
1.42Beira-Mar xG
3.08CF Os Belenenses xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
2–35%
0–35%
2–25%
From our goals model: Beira-Mar 1.4 – 3.1 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
CF Os Belenenses ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
13.01
–
Form
Beira-Mar – last 6
DDDLDW
13 Sep
vs Castro Daire
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cinfães
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs União Lamas
3–3
D
23 Aug
vs Machico
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Sanjoanense
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Tondela
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
WWWWWW
13 Sep
vs Atlético CP
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Vitória de Sernache
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs União Santarém
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Louletano
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Caldas
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beira-Mar and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Beira-Mar have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CF Os Belenenses 68%.
How many goals will there be in Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Beira-Mar 1–3 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses?
Beira-Mar vs CF Os Belenenses (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Castro Daire0
Portimonense1
Vitória de Sernache2
Varzim1
Atlético CP4
Lagoa1
Salgueiros1
Feirense0
Oliveirense1
Penafiel2
Mafra1
Tirsense1
O Elvas0
União de Leiria2