Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParaguay to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓14% · fair 7.34
Bolivia vs Paraguay preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Bolivia take on Paraguay on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Audi Field.
Form guide
Bolivia's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Algeria 0–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Paraguay's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to France 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paraguay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Bolivia and 2.1 for Paraguay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolivia 9%, draw 24%, Paraguay 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paraguay to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bolivia 0–2 Paraguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolivia9%fair 11.11 · @6.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.20
Paraguay67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
2.75Expected goals
0.69Bolivia xG
2.06Paraguay xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–113%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
1–36%
From our goals model: Bolivia 0.7 – 2.1 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paraguay to win✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Double chance
Paraguay or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Paraguay ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay / FT Paraguay✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
14%
7.34
–
Form
Bolivia – last 4
LLLW
11 Jun
vs Algeria
0–4
L
6 Jun
vs Scotland
0–4
L
1 Apr
@ Iraq
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Suriname
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paraguay – last 6
LDDWLW
4 Jul
vs France
0–1
L
29 Jun
@ Germany
1–1
D
26 Jun
vs Australia
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Türkiye
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolivia and Paraguay.
Our pick is Paraguay to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bolivia vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Bolivia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paraguay 67%.
How many goals will there be in Bolivia vs Paraguay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolivia vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Bolivia 0–2 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bolivia vs Paraguay?
Bolivia vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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