Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Papua New Guinea to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiji to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Fiji vs Papua New Guinea preview and prediction
The match
Fiji host Papua New Guinea in the Friendlies on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Fiji and 1.3 for Papua New Guinea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiji 44%, draw 21%, Papua New Guinea 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Papua New Guinea to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Fiji 1–1 Papua New Guinea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiji44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Papua New Guinea35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
2.75Expected goals
1.48Fiji xG
1.27Papua New Guinea xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fiji 1.5 – 1.3 Papua New Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiji to win✓
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiji / FT Fiji✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Fiji – last 2
LL
21 Sep
vs Vanuatu
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Vanuatu
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Papua New Guinea – last 1
L
24 Sep
vs New Caledonia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiji and Papua New Guinea.
What is the prediction for Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
On our numbers Fiji have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Papua New Guinea 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Our predicted score is Fiji 1–1 Papua New Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Fiji vs Papua New Guinea (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Chile0
Mexico1
Colombia1
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Tahiti3
Vanuatu4
New Caledonia1
China0
New Zealand3
Seychelles0
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Malta2
Liechtenstein0
Jordan1
Syria1