Mexico host Colombia in the Friendlies on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at M&T Bank Stadium.
Form guide
Mexico's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to England 2–3 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colombia's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Switzerland 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Mexico and 1.3 for Colombia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mexico 37%, draw 23%, Colombia 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Mexico 1–1 Colombia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mexico37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Colombia40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.21Mexico xG
1.29Colombia xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.2 – 1.3 Colombia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✗
40%
2.49
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
Mexico – last 6
LWWWWW
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Czechia
3–0
W
19 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
11 Jun
vs South Africa
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Serbia
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colombia – last 6
DWDWWW
7 Jul
@ Switzerland
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Ghana
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Portugal
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Uzbekistan
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Jordan
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Colombia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Mexico vs Colombia?
On our numbers Mexico have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colombia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Colombia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Colombia?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 Colombia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Colombia?
Mexico vs Colombia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at M&T Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Canada1
Chile0
Cook Islands1
Tahiti3
Vanuatu4
New Caledonia1
Fiji2
Papua New Guinea0
China0
New Zealand3
Seychelles0
Sri Lanka3
Malta2
Liechtenstein0
Jordan1
Syria1