Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Friendlies · World · Longxing Football Stadium

China

WDWLW
0–3
FT

New Zealand

DLLDL

China vs New Zealand prediction & analysis

59%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: China to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultNew Zealand to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

China vs New Zealand preview and prediction

The match

New Zealand travel to Longxing Football Stadium in the Friendlies on Sunday 27 September (12:35 WAT) to face China.

Form guide

China's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Maldives 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

New Zealand's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Palestine 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.

China arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for China and 1.4 for New Zealand. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: China 1–1 New Zealand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

China37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
New Zealand38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
2.71Expected goals
1.35China xG
1.36New Zealand xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: China 1.3 – 1.4 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew Zealand to win ✓38%2.632.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT New Zealand / FT New Zealand ✓22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%11.04–

Form

China – last 5

WDWLW
24 Sepvs Maldives3–0W
9 Junvs Thailand0–0D
5 Jun@ Singapore2–1W
31 Marvs Cameroon0–2L
27 Marvs Curaçao2–0W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

New Zealand – last 6

DLLDLL
24 Sep@ Palestine2–2D
27 Junvs Belgium1–5L
22 Junvs Egypt1–3L
16 Jun@ Iran2–2D
6 Jun@ England0–1L
3 Jun@ Haiti0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between China and New Zealand.

China vs New Zealand head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for China vs New Zealand?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win China vs New Zealand?

On our numbers China have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New Zealand 38%.

How many goals will there be in China vs New Zealand?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for China vs New Zealand?

Our predicted score is China 1–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is China vs New Zealand?

China vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Longxing Football Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.