Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Bragança to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBragança to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceBragança or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Bragança vs Celoricense preview and prediction
The match
Celoricense travel to face Bragança in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Bragança's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Ponte da Barca 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celoricense's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Chaves II 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Bragança and 0.7 for Celoricense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Bragança to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bragança or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bragança 1–0 Celoricense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bragança63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Celoricense13%fair 7.84 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.80Bragança xG
0.70Celoricense xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bragança 1.8 – 0.7 Celoricense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bragança to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Bragança or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Bragança ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bragança / FT Bragança✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Bragança – last 6
WWWDWL
13 Sep
vs Ponte da Barca
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Rebordelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Braga B
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Brito
3–2
W
31 May
@ Leça
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celoricense – last 6
LWWWDD
13 Sep
@ Chaves II
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Tirsense
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Pevidem
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Maria da Fonte
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Montalegre
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs AR São Martinho
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bragança and Celoricense.
What is the prediction for Bragança vs Celoricense?
Our pick is Bragança or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bragança vs Celoricense?
On our numbers Bragança have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Celoricense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bragança vs Celoricense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bragança vs Celoricense?
Our predicted score is Bragança 1–0 Celoricense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bragança vs Celoricense?
Bragança vs Celoricense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fafe4
Lajense0
Cinfães0
Leixoes4
Fátima4
Vinhais1
Mortágua0
Leça2
Ponte da Barca0
Amarante2
FC Serpa1
Louletano1
Sintrense0
AVS2
Paredes5
Maria da Fonte1