Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗35% · fair 2.88
Fafe vs Lajense preview and prediction
The match
The Taça De Portugal sees Fafe take on Lajense on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Fafe's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Paredes 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lajense's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Real 5–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fafe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.9 for Fafe and 0.1 for Lajense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fafe 68%, draw 20%, Lajense 11%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fafe to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fafe 1–0 Lajense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fafe68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.75
Lajense11%fair 8.71 · @10.00
1.00Expected goals
0.94Fafe xG
0.06Lajense xG
40%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–035%
2–016%
3–05%
0–12%
1–12%
From our goals model: Fafe 0.9 – 0.1 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
35%
2.88
–
Form
Fafe – last 6
LWDDWD
13 Sep
@ Paredes
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Leça
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ São João Ver
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Vianense
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lajense – last 6
DLLWDL
13 Sep
@ Real
5–5
D
6 Sep
vs Vitoria Setubal
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Lajense.
Our pick is Fafe to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fafe vs Lajense?
On our numbers Fafe have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lajense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Lajense?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Lajense?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Lajense?
Fafe vs Lajense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cinfães0
Leixoes4
Fátima4
Vinhais1
Bragança6
Celoricense1
Mortágua0
Leça2
Ponte da Barca0
Amarante2
FC Serpa1
Louletano1
Sintrense0
AVS2
Paredes5
Maria da Fonte1