Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Riga 1.4 – 1.3 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Riga and FK Jablonec on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Riga have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. FK Jablonec have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Riga come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Riga, 1.3 for FK Jablonec). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Riga to win ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Riga / FT Riga ✗ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.51 | – |
Form
Riga – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Ogre United | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | @ Grobiņa | 5–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Pafos | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Super Nova | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Kairat Almaty | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Tukums | 2–0 | W |
FK Jablonec – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Slavia Praha | 0–5 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Hradec Králové | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Brighton | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Plzen | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ SC Freiburg | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Zbrojovka Brno | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FK Jablonec.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Riga have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Jablonec 35%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Riga vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.