Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 2.4 – 0.8 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Panathinaikos are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for CSKA Sofia.
Panathinaikos have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. CSKA Sofia have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Panathinaikos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.4 for Panathinaikos, 0.8 for CSKA Sofia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.24.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Panathinaikos to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Panathinaikos or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Panathinaikos ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.74 | – |
Form
Panathinaikos – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs AEK Athens FC | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Aris Thessalonikis | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Volos NFC | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Kairat Almaty | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Asteras Tripolis | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Borac Banja Luka | 2–1 | W |
CSKA Sofia – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Slavia Sofia | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | vs Ludogorets | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ FC Nordsjaelland | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Nesebar | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Monaco | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ CSKA 1948 | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CSKA Sofia 9%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.