Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrighton to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.42
Getafe vs Brighton preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Getafe take on Brighton on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Coliseum. Getafe are 31st with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Brighton sit 5th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Getafe's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Sevilla 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Brighton's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Manchester City 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brighton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Getafe and 2.0 for Brighton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Getafe 14%, draw 24%, Brighton 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Getafe 0–2 Brighton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Getafe14%fair 7.38 · @6.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
Brighton62%fair 1.60 · @1.53
2.81Expected goals
0.84Getafe xG
1.97Brighton xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Getafe 0.8 – 2.0 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.42
–
Form
Getafe – last 6
WWLLDD
1 Nov
vs Sevilla
3–1
W
29 Oct
@ Lebrijana
3–2
W
25 Oct
@ Athletic Club
0–4
L
22 Oct
vs FC Lugano
2–5
L
19 Oct
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
WDLDWW
31 Oct
@ Manchester City
1–0
W
28 Oct
@ Manchester City
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Liverpool
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
5–0
W
15 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and Brighton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?
On our numbers Getafe have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brighton 62%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Brighton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Getafe 0–2 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs Brighton?
Getafe vs Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
