Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSunderland to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceSunderland or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland host AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 11th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while AZ Alkmaar sit 14th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Willem II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunderland 62%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 17%.
Safer route: Sunderland or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sunderland to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.90
AZ Alkmaar17%fair 5.90 · @5.00
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Sunderland or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Form
Sunderland – last 6
LWDWLW
12 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Hull City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brentford
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fulham
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rennes
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Sep
vs Willem II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Heerenveen
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs GO Ahead Eagles
5–2
W
22 Aug
@ Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Utrecht
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is Sunderland to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 17%.
When is Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
