Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRennes to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Sturm Graz vs Rennes preview and prediction
The match
Rennes travel to Merkur Arena in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 16 September (20:00 WAT) to face Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz are 24th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Rennes sit 17th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sturm Graz's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Lask Linz 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rennes's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Marseille 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Our pre-match pick was Rennes to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz20%fair 5.02 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @3.60
Rennes64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✗
64%
1.56
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Form
Sturm Graz – last 6
WWLDWL
13 Sep
vs Lask Linz
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Voitsberg
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Rapid Vienna
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Austria Lustenau
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs SCR Altach
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 6
WWWDLL
11 Sep
vs Marseille
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Angers
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Le Mans
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Brentford
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and Rennes.
Our pick is Rennes to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rennes 64%.
When is Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
Sturm Graz vs Rennes (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.