Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo prediction & analysis
Celta Vigo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +78%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.1 – 1.4 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Celta Vigo shade it despite being away from home – 29% to win, against 16% for Omonia Nicosia, with the draw at 56%.
Omonia Nicosia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Celta Vigo have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Omonia Nicosia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.4 for Celta Vigo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.20 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 3.20 ▲ |
| Double chance | Celta Vigo or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo ✗ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.89 | – |
Form
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Apollon Limassol | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Aris | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Pafos | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Omonia Aradippou | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | vs St. Truiden | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Aug | @ St. Truiden | 0–1 | L |
Celta Vigo – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Getafe | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ Real Sociedad | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Osasuna | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Valencia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Celta Vigo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.