Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Lyon to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Anderlecht vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Anderlecht take on Lyon on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Lotto Park. Anderlecht are 15th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Lyon sit 13th on 7 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Anderlecht's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat KV Mechelen 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lyon's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Paris FC 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Anderlecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Anderlecht and 1.7 for Lyon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anderlecht 30%, draw 21%, Lyon 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Lyon to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Anderlecht 1–1 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anderlecht30%fair 3.31 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Lyon49%fair 2.05 · @2.30
3.00Expected goals
1.29Anderlecht xG
1.71Lyon xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.3 – 1.7 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
49%
2.05
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.63
–
Form
Anderlecht – last 6
WDWLWW
11 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Genk
0–0
D
3 Sep
vs Kortrijk
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
27 Aug
vs Kairat Almaty
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Kairat Almaty
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
DWDLWD
12 Sep
@ Paris FC
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Lyon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Lyon?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lyon 49%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Anderlecht vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
