Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Praha to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗27% · fair 3.66
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha preview and prediction
The match
Sparta Praha travel to Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 16 September (17:45 WAT) to face Ararat-Armenia. Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Sparta Praha sit 22nd on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Syunik 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sparta Praha's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.3 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.2 for Sparta Praha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ararat-Armenia 14%, draw 19%, Sparta Praha 67%.
Safer route: Sparta Praha or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Praha to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 0–1 Sparta Praha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia14%fair 7.07 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.90
Sparta Praha67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
1.50Expected goals
0.28Ararat-Armenia xG
1.22Sparta Praha xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–127%
0–022%
0–217%
1–18%
0–37%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 0.3 – 1.2 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
27%
3.66
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WWLWDD
11 Sep
vs Syunik
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Ararat
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Pyunik Yerevan
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sardarapat
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sparta Praha – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
vs FK Jablonec
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Artis
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Teplice
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Praha.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sparta Praha 67%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–1 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
