Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Omonia Nicosia take on Benfica on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at GSP Stadium. Omonia Nicosia are 18th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Benfica sit 1st on 12 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Omonia Nicosia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Olympiakos 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Celtic 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Omonia Nicosia and 2.3 for Benfica. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Omonia Nicosia 1–2 Benfica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Omonia Nicosia14%fair 6.99 · @7.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.80
Benfica64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
3.29Expected goals
1.02Omonia Nicosia xG
2.27Benfica xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.0 – 2.3 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
DWWWWD
19 Oct
vs Olympiakos
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ Celje
3–0
W
9 Oct
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Krasava Ypsonas
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Benfica – last 6
WWLWWW
15 Oct
vs Celtic
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Vitória SC
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ FC Porto
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ AC Milan
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs GIL Vicente
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Moreirense
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omonia Nicosia and Benfica.
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica 64%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Omonia Nicosia 1–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
