Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
AZ Alkmaar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while AZ Alkmaar sit 14th on 6 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat BKMA 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Cambuur 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.9 for AZ Alkmaar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ararat-Armenia 13%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 66%.
Safer route: AZ Alkmaar or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AZ Alkmaar to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 0–1 AZ Alkmaar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia13%fair 7.54 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.20
AZ Alkmaar66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
2.67Expected goals
0.73Ararat-Armenia xG
1.94AZ Alkmaar xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 0.7 – 1.9 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WLDWLW
18 Oct
@ BKMA
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Shirak
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs Sparta Praha
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Syunik
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
DWLWLD
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Willem II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 66%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
