Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.57
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Union St. Gilloise take on Hapoel Beer Sheva on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Merkur Spielarena. Union St. Gilloise are 4th with 10 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 33rd on 1 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Nijlen 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Hapoel Katamon 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.4 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union St. Gilloise 72%, draw 17%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union St. Gilloise72%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @5.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva12%fair 8.66 · @8.50
2.00Expected goals
1.62Union St. Gilloise xG
0.38Hapoel Beer Sheva xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.6 – 0.4 Hapoel Beer Sheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.57
–
Form
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WDDWWW
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Plzen
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Lommel United
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva – last 6
WLWWDW
17 Oct
vs Hapoel Katamon
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Ironi Tiberias
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Hapoel Petah Tikva
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 12%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spielarena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
