Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSunderland to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Lech Poznan take on Sunderland on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Lech Poznan are 35th with 1 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Sunderland sit 11th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lech Poznan's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Korona Kielce 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Sunderland's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lech Poznan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Lech Poznan and 2.3 for Sunderland. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lech Poznan 20%, draw 20%, Sunderland 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lech Poznan 1–2 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lech Poznan20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.90
Sunderland60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
3.63Expected goals
1.30Lech Poznan xG
2.33Sunderland xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 1.3 – 2.3 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Sunderland ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland / FT Sunderland✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Lech Poznan – last 6
WLWDWL
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Energie Cottbus
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Radomiak Radom
5–1
W
17 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sunderland – last 6
LWLLWL
18 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–2
L
15 Oct
@ Torreense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Brighton
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Manchester City
3–5
L
16 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Sunderland.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sunderland 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1–2 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
