Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Zagreb to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Zagreb host NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Maksimir. Dinamo Zagreb are 9th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while NEC Nijmegen sit 12th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dinamo Zagreb's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Fortuna Sittard 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dinamo Zagreb arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.5 for NEC Nijmegen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dinamo Zagreb 63%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 15%.
Safer route: Dinamo Zagreb or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dinamo Zagreb to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 NEC Nijmegen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Zagreb63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
NEC Nijmegen15%fair 6.61 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.48Dinamo Zagreb xG
0.52NEC Nijmegen xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dinamo Zagreb 1.5 – 0.5 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Zagreb to win✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Dinamo Zagreb or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Zagreb / FT Dinamo Zagreb✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.00
–
Form
Dinamo Zagreb – last 6
WWLWWD
18 Oct
@ NK Slaven Belupo
5–1
W
15 Oct
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Vukovar
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Hapoel Beer Sheva
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DDDDLL
18 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ajax
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Juventus
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Cambuur
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers Dinamo Zagreb have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
