Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Sociedad to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceReal Sociedad or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad preview and prediction
The match
Lillestrom host Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Åråsen Stadion. Lillestrom are 34th with 1 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Real Sociedad sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Sandefjord 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Real Sociedad's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Malaga 5–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Lillestrom and 1.6 for Real Sociedad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lillestrom 16%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad 66%.
Safer route: Real Sociedad or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Sociedad to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Lillestrom 0–1 Real Sociedad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lillestrom16%fair 6.12 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.40
Real Sociedad66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
2.17Expected goals
0.57Lillestrom xG
1.60Real Sociedad xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 0.6 – 1.6 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
Real Sociedad or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Lillestrom – last 6
WDDWLL
18 Oct
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Sparta Praha
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Molde
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bærum
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Viking
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Torreense
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
WDWWLL
18 Oct
@ Malaga
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruna
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Valencia
3–2
W
17 Sep
vs Bournemouth
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Real Sociedad to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad 66%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 0–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
