Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnderlecht to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Jagiellonia are 29th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Anderlecht sit 15th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Anderlecht's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Beerschot VA 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Anderlecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Jagiellonia and 1.5 for Anderlecht. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia36%fair 2.82 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Anderlecht42%fair 2.40 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.40Jagiellonia xG
1.53Anderlecht xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.5 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win✓
42%
2.40
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht✓
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
LWLLLL
18 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
LLWWLW
18 Oct
@ Beerschot VA
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Zulte Waregem
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Lyon
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anderlecht 42%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
