Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.83
Celtic vs Celta Vigo preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Celtic take on Celta Vigo on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Celtic Park. Celtic are 32nd with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Celta Vigo sit 27th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celtic's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Heart Of Midlothian 7–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Celta Vigo's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Alaves 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Celtic and 1.7 for Celta Vigo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celtic 37%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celtic37%fair 2.71 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Celta Vigo39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
3.25Expected goals
1.60Celtic xG
1.65Celta Vigo xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Celtic 1.6 – 1.7 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✓
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.83
–
Form
Celtic – last 6
WLWLLL
18 Oct
vs Heart Of Midlothian
7–1
W
15 Oct
@ Benfica
1–4
L
11 Oct
@ Motherwell
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Rangers
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Ferencvarosi TC
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Rangers
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
WLDWLD
18 Oct
vs Alaves
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Juventus
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Elche
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Racing Santander
5–0
W
16 Sep
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Malaga
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celtic and Celta Vigo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Celtic have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Celtic vs Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
