Value bet: Como to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓75% · @1.40
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 16.94
Feyenoord vs Como preview and prediction
The match
Feyenoord host Como in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Feijenoord. Feyenoord are 32nd with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Como sit 4th on 9 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Feyenoord's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with AS Roma 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 2.1 for Feyenoord and 3.4 for Como. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 91% and both teams to score at 75%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Feyenoord 23%, draw 12%, Como 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (75%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Como to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 75% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Feyenoord 2–3 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Feyenoord23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
Draw12%fair 8.43 · @4.00
Como65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
5.50Expected goals
2.10Feyenoord xG
3.40Como xG
75%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–36%
1–36%
2–25%
2–45%
1–25%
1–45%
From our goals model: Feyenoord 2.1 – 3.4 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✗
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
16.94
–
Form
Feyenoord – last 6
WWWLWD
10 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Utrecht
5–0
W
13 Sep
@ PEC Zwolle
7–0
W
9 Sep
@ Barcelona
1–5
L
5 Sep
@ NEC Nijmegen
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs ADO Den Haag
2–2
D
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DLWWWW
11 Oct
vs AS Roma
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Parma
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
4–1
W
4 Sep
@ Genoa
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Napoli
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feyenoord and Como.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Como?
On our numbers Feyenoord have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Como 65%.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Como?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Como?
Our predicted score is Feyenoord 2–3 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Feyenoord vs Como?
Feyenoord vs Como (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Feijenoord.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
