Value bet: BodoGlimt to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗75% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.12
BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League sees BodoGlimt take on Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Aspmyra Stadion. BodoGlimt are 25th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Borussia Dortmund sit 12th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
BodoGlimt's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Kristiansund BK 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Werder Bremen 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 2.2 for BodoGlimt and 2.4 for Borussia Dortmund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 75% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: BodoGlimt to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: BodoGlimt 2–2 Borussia Dortmund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BodoGlimt36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.80
Borussia Dortmund43%fair 2.33 · @2.00
4.67Expected goals
2.24BodoGlimt xG
2.43Borussia Dortmund xG
75%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
2–36%
3–25%
1–15%
From our goals model: BodoGlimt 2.2 – 2.4 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
43%
2.33
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
16.12
–
Form
BodoGlimt – last 6
WWLWLW
10 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
1 Oct
@ Rana
6–2
W
20 Sep
@ Brann
1–2
L
14 Sep
vs Sandefjord
3–2
W
10 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
DWWWWW
9 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SC Paderborn 07
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BodoGlimt and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers BodoGlimt have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Borussia Dortmund 43%.
How many goals will there be in BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is BodoGlimt 2–2 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Aspmyra Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
