Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.47
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction
The match
FC Tokyo host Shonan Bellmare in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 7 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Ehime FC 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Fujieda MYFC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for FC Tokyo and 1.0 for Shonan Bellmare. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 68%, draw 22%, Shonan Bellmare 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tokyo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 2–0 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Shonan Bellmare10%fair 10.15 · @5.50
3.50Expected goals
2.52FC Tokyo xG
0.98Shonan Bellmare xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.5 – 1.0 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
FC Tokyo – last 6
WWWWDW
29 Sep
@ Ehime FC
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
DWDWDL
3 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Imabari
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is FC Tokyo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shonan Bellmare 10%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–0 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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