Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Fagiano Okayama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54
Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
Fagiano Okayama host JEF United Chiba in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 7 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Consadole Sapporo 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
JEF United Chiba's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Jubilo Iwata 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished JEF United Chiba 1–2 Fagiano Okayama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Fagiano Okayama and 0.6 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Fagiano Okayama or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fagiano Okayama to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
JEF United Chiba12%fair 8.34 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.86Fagiano Okayama xG
0.64JEF United Chiba xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.9 – 0.6 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and JEF United Chiba 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba?
Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United Chiba (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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