Emperor Cup · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki prediction & analysis
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.4 – 1.1 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 16% for Iwaki.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Iwaki have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 1.1 for Iwaki). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ Tochigi City | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Avispa Fukuoka | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Cerezo Osaka | 6–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Fagiano Okayama | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Nagoya Grampus | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Gamba Osaka | 0–0 | D |
Iwaki – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Consadole Sapporo | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Vegalta Sendai | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Sagan Tosu | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Yokohama FC | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Tokushima Vortis | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Kitakyushu | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Iwaki.
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V-varen Nagasaki1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Iwaki 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.