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Emperor Cup · Japan · IAI Stadium Nihondaira
1–1
FTAET 2–1

Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95

Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction

The match

The Emperor Cup sees Shimizu S-pulse take on V-varen Nagasaki on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Form guide

Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Kanazawa 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Gainare Tottori 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 V-varen Nagasaki. Across their last 2 meetings Shimizu S-pulse have won 1, V-varen Nagasaki 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.9 for V-varen Nagasaki. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 65%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Shimizu S-pulse43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.90
V-varen Nagasaki34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
4.00Expected goals
2.11Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.89V-varen Nagasaki xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 2.1 – 1.9 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShimizu S-pulse to win ✗43%2.322.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultShimizu S-pulse ahead at half-time ✗36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.95–

Form

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

WWWLDL
29 Sep@ Kanazawa2–0W
19 Sepvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
12 Sepvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
6 Sep@ Kawasaki Frontale1–3L
2 Sepvs FC Tokyo1–1D
29 Augvs Kashiwa Reysol0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LDWWLD
29 Sep@ Gainare Tottori0–2L
19 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka1–1D
12 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus2–0W
9 Sep@ Kochi United1–0W
6 Sep@ Vissel Kobe1–3L
2 Sepvs Gamba Osaka2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Shimizu S-pulse v V-varen Nagasaki1–2
5 Apr 2026V-varen Nagasaki v Shimizu S-pulse0–3
Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?

On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and V-varen Nagasaki 34%.

How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.