Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.70 – our chance 53% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +96%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.70
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
KI Klaksvik vs Riga preview and prediction
The match
Riga travel to Djúpumýra in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August (18:30 WAT) to face KI Klaksvik.
Form guide
KI Klaksvik's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat AB 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Riga's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Metta LU 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for KI Klaksvik and 1.8 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: KI Klaksvik 17%, draw 53%, Riga 30%.
Safer route: Riga or draw (83%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Draw at 3.70 – 53% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KI Klaksvik 1–1 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KI Klaksvik17%fair 5.84 · @3.45
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.70
Riga30%fair 3.35 · @1.97
3.36Expected goals
1.53KI Klaksvik xG
1.83Riga xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: KI Klaksvik 1.5 – 1.8 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.89
3.70 ▲
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
KI Klaksvik – last 6
WLLLWL
17 Aug
@ AB
4–3
W
14 Aug
vs Lech Poznan
0–5
L
10 Aug
vs HB Torshavn
0–2
L
6 Aug
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs B36 Torshavn
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Riga – last 6
WDWWWL
16 Aug
vs Metta LU
4–1
W
13 Aug
@ Gyori ETO FC
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Ogre United
4–1
W
6 Aug
vs Gyori ETO FC
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Grobiņa
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Vardar Skopje
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KI Klaksvik and Riga.
Our pick is Riga or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win KI Klaksvik vs Riga?
On our numbers KI Klaksvik have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Riga 30%.
How many goals will there be in KI Klaksvik vs Riga?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KI Klaksvik vs Riga?
Our predicted score is KI Klaksvik 1–1 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is KI Klaksvik vs Riga?
KI Klaksvik vs Riga (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Djúpumýra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.