Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · MCH Arena
2–0
FT

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✓61% · @1.54
Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka preview and prediction

The match

HNK Rijeka travel to MCH Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August (18:00 WAT) to face FC Midtjylland.

Form guide

FC Midtjylland's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Lyngby 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

HNK Rijeka's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to NK Varazdin 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for FC Midtjylland and 0.7 for HNK Rijeka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 1–0 HNK Rijeka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Midtjylland61%fair 1.64 · @1.54
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.20
HNK Rijeka17%fair 5.88 · @5.50
2.44Expected goals
1.69FC Midtjylland xG
0.75HNK Rijeka xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.7 – 0.7 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Midtjylland to win ✓61%1.641.54
Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.982.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.42
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.76–

Form

FC Midtjylland – last 6

DWWWLW
16 Aug@ Lyngby1–1D
13 Augvs Bohemians3–2W
6 Aug@ Bohemians2–0W
2 Augvs AC Horsens2–1W
30 Julvs Beşiktaş0–2L
26 Jul@ Sonderjyske3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

LDWWWW
16 Aug@ NK Varazdin0–2L
13 Aug@ Ilves1–1D
6 Augvs Ilves1–0W
2 Augvs Rudes2–1W
30 Jul@ Derry City1–0W
23 Julvs Derry City1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka.

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 17%.

How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–0 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.