Value bet: Larne to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLincoln Red Imps FC to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.57
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne preview and prediction
The match
Larne travel to Victoria Stadium in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August (17:00 WAT) to face Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Form guide
Lincoln Red Imps FC's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Omonia Nicosia 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Larne's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Coleraine FC 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1.2 for Larne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln Red Imps FC 45%, draw 21%, Larne 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Larne to win at 3.55 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Larne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln Red Imps FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Larne34%fair 2.93 · @3.55
2.61Expected goals
1.42Lincoln Red Imps FC xG
1.19Larne xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1.4 – 1.2 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln Red Imps FC to win✗
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln Red Imps FC / FT Lincoln Red Imps FC✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
Lincoln Red Imps FC – last 6
LDDLDW
13 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–1
L
6 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Mjallby AIF
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
14 Jul
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Larne – last 6
DDDLLW
15 Aug
@ Coleraine FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Saburtalo
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Saburtalo
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
0–5
L
21 Jul
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–4
L
14 Jul
vs Tre Fiori
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne.
What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
On our numbers Lincoln Red Imps FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Larne 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.