Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓64% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FC Nordsjaelland take on FC ST. Gallen on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Right to Dream Park.
Form guide
FC Nordsjaelland's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Silkeborg 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC ST. Gallen's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Thalwil 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
FC Nordsjaelland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.3 for FC ST. Gallen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Nordsjaelland 64%, draw 12%, FC ST. Gallen 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Nordsjaelland to win at 1.69 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC ST. Gallen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Nordsjaelland64%fair 1.55 · @1.69
Draw12%fair 8.23 · @4.20
FC ST. Gallen24%fair 4.25 · @4.10
3.68Expected goals
2.37FC Nordsjaelland xG
1.31FC ST. Gallen xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Nordsjaelland 2.4 – 1.3 FC ST. Gallen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Nordsjaelland to win✓
64%
1.55
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Half-time result
FC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
FC Nordsjaelland – last 6
WWWWWD
16 Aug
vs Silkeborg
1–0
W
13 Aug
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–0
W
6 Aug
@ Valur Reykjavik
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Randers FC
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Gais
6–0
W
26 Jul
@ AC Horsens
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC ST. Gallen – last 6
WWDWWL
16 Aug
@ Thalwil
3–0
W
13 Aug
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
5–1
W
9 Aug
vs FC Luzern
2–2
D
6 Aug
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ FC Vaduz
3–2
W
30 Jul
@ Benfica
0–5
L
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen.
What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
On our numbers FC Nordsjaelland have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and FC ST. Gallen 24%.
How many goals will there be in FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our predicted score is FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC ST. Gallen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Right to Dream Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.