Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrighton to win ✗64% · @1.53
Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Tromso vs Brighton preview and prediction
The match
Tromso host Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Romssa Arena.
Form guide
Tromso's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Molde 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Brighton's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Bologna 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brighton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Tromso and 2.3 for Brighton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tromso 18%, draw 18%, Brighton 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tromso 1–2 Brighton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso18%fair 5.59 · @5.80
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
Brighton64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
3.45Expected goals
1.14Tromso xG
2.31Brighton xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Tromso 1.1 – 2.3 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.42
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Tromso – last 6
LWWWLL
16 Aug
@ Molde
2–3
L
13 Aug
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
2–1
W
6 Aug
@ CFR 1907 Cluj
5–0
W
2 Aug
@ Aalesund
6–2
W
30 Jul
@ Hradec Králové
1–3
L
23 Jul
vs Hradec Králové
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
WWWLLW
15 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs AS Roma
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Strasbourg
4–3
W
24 May
vs Manchester United
0–3
L
17 May
@ Leeds
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Brighton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tromso vs Brighton?
On our numbers Tromso have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brighton 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Tromso 1–2 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Brighton?
Tromso vs Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Romssa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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