Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Pistoiese vs Castellanzese preview and prediction
The match
Castellanzese travel to face Pistoiese in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). Pistoiese are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Castellanzese sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pistoiese's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Cittadella Vis Modena 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castellanzese's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Varesina 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castellanzese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Pistoiese and 0.7 for Castellanzese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Pistoiese to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.59, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pistoiese 1–0 Castellanzese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pistoiese68%fair 1.46 · @1.59
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.85
Castellanzese12%fair 8.31 · @4.92
2.65Expected goals
1.98Pistoiese xG
0.67Castellanzese xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pistoiese 2.0 – 0.7 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✓
68%
1.46
1.59 ▲
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.88
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.34
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Pistoiese – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Oct
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Pavia
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Correggese
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ USD Casatese
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Sant'Angelo
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 6
DWWWWW
25 Oct
vs Varesina
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Correggese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Arconatese
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Crema
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Solbiatese
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pistoiese and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Pistoiese have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Castellanzese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Pistoiese 1–0 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Pistoiese vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
