Value bet: Correggese to win @ 1.78 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorreggese to win ✗66% · @1.78
Double chanceCorreggese or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Correggese vs Coriano preview and prediction
The match
Coriano travel to face Correggese in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). Correggese are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Coriano sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Correggese's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Pro Patria 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Coriano's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Arconatese 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Correggese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Correggese and 0.6 for Coriano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Correggese to win at 1.78 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Correggese 1–0 Coriano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Correggese66%fair 1.51 · @1.78
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Coriano13%fair 7.83 · @4.14
2.30Expected goals
1.72Correggese xG
0.58Coriano xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Correggese 1.7 – 0.6 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Correggese to win✗
66%
1.51
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Correggese or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.03
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.24
Half-time result
Correggese ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Correggese / FT Correggese✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Correggese – last 6
DLLWWL
25 Oct
@ Pro Patria
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Castellanzese
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Pistoiese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pavia
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs USD Casatese
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coriano – last 6
LLLLDW
25 Oct
vs Arconatese
1–2
L
21 Oct
@ Solbiatese
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
0–2
L
14 Oct
vs Pontedera
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Crema
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Oltrepò
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Correggese and Coriano.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Correggese vs Coriano?
On our numbers Correggese have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Coriano 13%.
How many goals will there be in Correggese vs Coriano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correggese vs Coriano?
Our predicted score is Correggese 1–0 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Correggese vs Coriano?
Correggese vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
