Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Coriano to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoriano to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceCoriano or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Coriano vs Arconatese preview and prediction
The match
Arconatese travel to face Coriano in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT). Coriano are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Arconatese sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Coriano's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Solbiatese 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Arconatese's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Città di Varese 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Coriano and 0.8 for Arconatese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Coriano to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Coriano or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Coriano 1–0 Arconatese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coriano57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Arconatese20%fair 5.09 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.66Coriano xG
0.84Arconatese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Coriano 1.7 – 0.8 Arconatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coriano to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Coriano or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coriano / FT Coriano✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Coriano – last 6
LLLDWL
21 Oct
@ Solbiatese
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
0–2
L
14 Oct
vs Pontedera
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Crema
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Oltrepò
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Lentigione
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arconatese – last 6
LLDDLL
18 Oct
vs Città di Varese
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Pro Patria
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coriano and Arconatese.
Our pick is Coriano or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coriano vs Arconatese?
On our numbers Coriano have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arconatese 20%.
How many goals will there be in Coriano vs Arconatese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coriano vs Arconatese?
Our predicted score is Coriano 1–0 Arconatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coriano vs Arconatese?
Coriano vs Arconatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
