Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPistoiese to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Cittadella Vis Modena take on Pistoiese on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Pistoiese sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Cittadella Vis Modena's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Oltrepò 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pistoiese's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Pavia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pistoiese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Pistoiese 5–0 Cittadella Vis Modena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 1.5 for Pistoiese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cittadella Vis Modena 20%, draw 19%, Pistoiese 60%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Cittadella Vis Modena 0–1 Pistoiese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella Vis Modena20%fair 4.89 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Pistoiese60%fair 1.65 · @1.55
2.18Expected goals
0.68Cittadella Vis Modena xG
1.50Pistoiese xG
40%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 0.7 – 1.5 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pistoiese 60%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
