Value bet: Pro Sesto to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chancePro Sesto or draw ✗86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo preview and prediction
The match
Sant'Angelo travel to Stadio Ernesto Breda in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT) to face Pro Sesto. Pro Sesto are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sant'Angelo sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pro Sesto's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Varesina 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sant'Angelo's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Coriano 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pro Sesto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Pro Sesto and 0.8 for Sant'Angelo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pro Sesto 60%, draw 26%, Sant'Angelo 14%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Pro Sesto to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Pro Sesto 1–0 Sant'Angelo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pro Sesto60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Sant'Angelo14%fair 6.92 · @3.94
2.53Expected goals
1.76Pro Sesto xG
0.77Sant'Angelo xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pro Sesto 1.8 – 0.8 Sant'Angelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pro Sesto or draw✗
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.27
Half-time result
Pro Sesto ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Pro Sesto – last 6
DDDWWW
18 Oct
@ Varesina
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Solbiatese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Arconatese
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Oltrepò
6–1
W
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sant'Angelo – last 6
WLWLLD
18 Oct
vs Coriano
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Pro Patria
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Pavia
3–1
W
4 Oct
vs Castellanzese
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Pavia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Sesto and Sant'Angelo.
What is the prediction for Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
On our numbers Pro Sesto have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sant'Angelo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Our predicted score is Pro Sesto 1–0 Sant'Angelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
