Serie D Girone D · ItalyLentigione vs Crema prediction & analysis
Lentigione to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lentigione 2.0 – 0.8 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lentigione are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Crema.
Lentigione have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Crema have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Lentigione, 0.8 for Crema). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Lentigione to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lentigione to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Double chance | Lentigione or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Lentigione ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.42 | – |
Form
Lentigione – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Solbiatese | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Pontedera | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Piacenza | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Oltrepò | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Città di Varese | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Cittadella Vis Modena | 0–1 | L |
Crema – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Pontedera | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Coriano | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Città di Varese | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Castellanzese | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Pro Sesto | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Pro Patria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Crema.
Serie D Girone D table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 11 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Lentigione | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 11 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Solbiatese | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Crema | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Correggese | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pontedera | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 11 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 11 | -19 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone D predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Crema?
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Lentigione vs Crema?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crema 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Crema?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Lentigione vs Crema?
Lentigione vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.