Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCastellanzese to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Castellanzese vs Varesina preview and prediction
The match
Castellanzese host Varesina in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Castellanzese are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Varesina sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Correggese 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Varesina's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Pro Sesto 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Castellanzese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Castellanzese 1–2 Varesina. Across their last 2 meetings Castellanzese have won 0, Varesina 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Castellanzese and 0.9 for Varesina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Castellanzese to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–0 Varesina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellanzese61%fair 1.65 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.80
Varesina21%fair 4.75 · @5.00
2.73Expected goals
1.81Castellanzese xG
0.92Varesina xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.8 – 0.9 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our pick is Castellanzese to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Varesina?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Varesina 21%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Castellanzese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
