Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLentigione to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceLentigione or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Oltrepò vs Lentigione preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Oltrepò take on Lentigione on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Oltrepò are 18th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Lentigione sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oltrepò's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Pro Sesto 1–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lentigione's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Città di Varese 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Oltrepò and 2.0 for Lentigione. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Lentigione to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oltrepò 0–1 Lentigione. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oltrepò14%fair 7.33 · @4.86
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.08
Lentigione67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
2.68Expected goals
0.73Oltrepò xG
1.95Lentigione xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Oltrepò 0.7 – 2.0 Lentigione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Lentigione or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.34
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Oltrepò – last 6
LLWLWW
27 Sep
@ Pro Sesto
1–6
L
20 Sep
vs Coriano
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Villa Valle
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lentigione – last 6
DLWWWL
27 Sep
@ Città di Varese
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Coriano
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Sesto
3–2
W
17 May
vs Piacenza
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oltrepò and Lentigione.
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
On our numbers Oltrepò have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lentigione 67%.
How many goals will there be in Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
Our predicted score is Oltrepò 0–1 Lentigione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
Oltrepò vs Lentigione (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
