Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chancePro Sesto or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto preview and prediction
The match
Pro Sesto travel to face Arconatese in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). Arconatese are 17th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Pro Sesto sit 6th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arconatese's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Pavia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Pro Sesto's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Oltrepò 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pro Sesto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Arconatese and 2.2 for Pro Sesto. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arconatese 13%, draw 22%, Pro Sesto 65%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.96.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arconatese 0–2 Pro Sesto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arconatese13%fair 7.98 · @5.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.26
Pro Sesto65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
3.12Expected goals
0.91Arconatese xG
2.21Pro Sesto xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Arconatese 0.9 – 2.2 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
65%
1.53
1.60
Double chance
Pro Sesto or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.96
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Half-time result
Pro Sesto ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Arconatese – last 5
DLLDL
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Pro Patria
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
13 Sep
vs Correggese
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ USD Casatese
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Pro Sesto – last 6
WWWWLL
27 Sep
vs Oltrepò
6–1
W
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Città di Varese
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Lentigione
2–3
L
3 May
@ Correggese
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arconatese and Pro Sesto.
What is the prediction for Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
On our numbers Arconatese have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pro Sesto 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our predicted score is Arconatese 0–2 Pro Sesto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
