Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLentigione to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceLentigione or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Coriano vs Lentigione preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Coriano take on Lentigione on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Coriano are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lentigione sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Coriano's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Cittadella Vis Modena 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lentigione's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Castellanzese 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lentigione arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Coriano and 1.7 for Lentigione. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Lentigione to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coriano 0–1 Lentigione. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coriano13%fair 7.67 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Lentigione65%fair 1.55 · @1.62
2.36Expected goals
0.62Coriano xG
1.74Lentigione xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Coriano 0.6 – 1.7 Lentigione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
65%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
Lentigione or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Coriano – last 6
LDLDWL
13 Sep
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Città di Varese
1–1
D
10 May
@ Crema
0–2
L
3 May
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Pistoiese
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lentigione – last 6
WWLWDW
13 Sep
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Sesto
3–2
W
17 May
vs Piacenza
0–2
L
10 May
vs Pro Palazzolo
3–2
W
3 May
vs Sant'Angelo
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Trevigliese
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coriano and Lentigione.
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Coriano vs Lentigione?
On our numbers Coriano have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lentigione 65%.
How many goals will there be in Coriano vs Lentigione?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coriano vs Lentigione?
Our predicted score is Coriano 0–1 Lentigione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Coriano vs Lentigione?
Coriano vs Lentigione (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
