Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.57
Castellanzese vs Oltrepò preview and prediction
The match
Oltrepò travel to face Castellanzese in the Serie D Girone D on Wednesday 16 September (14:00 WAT). Castellanzese are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Oltrepò sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Lentigione 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Oltrepò's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Pro Patria 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Oltrepò arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Castellanzese and 1.2 for Oltrepò. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–1 Oltrepò. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellanzese40%fair 2.49 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Oltrepò36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
2.53Expected goals
1.31Castellanzese xG
1.22Oltrepò xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.3 – 1.2 Oltrepò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellanzese to win✗
40%
2.49
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
Castellanzese – last 6
LWLDLD
13 Sep
@ Lentigione
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–1
W
10 May
vs Varesina
1–2
L
3 May
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Milan II
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Chievo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oltrepò – last 6
LWWLWW
6 Sep
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Villa Valle
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Sondrio
0–3
L
2 Apr
vs Real Calepina
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Breno
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Oltrepò.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oltrepò 36%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Oltrepò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Castellanzese vs Oltrepò (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
