Serie D Girone D · ItalyUSD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo prediction & analysis
USD Casatese to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.6 – 0.5 Sant'Angelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
USD Casatese are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Sant'Angelo.
USD Casatese have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.2 per game. Sant'Angelo have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. USD Casatese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for USD Casatese, 0.5 for Sant'Angelo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is USD Casatese to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USD Casatese to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | USD Casatese or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.26 | – |
Form
USD Casatese – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Solbiatese | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Arconatese | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | vs Leon | 4–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Leon Monza e Brianza | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Pavia | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Apr | vs Castellanzese | 1–0 | W |
Sant'Angelo – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Varesina | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Correggese | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | @ Lentigione | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | vs Progresso | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Tuttocuoio | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Apr | @ Correggese | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Sant'Angelo.
Serie D Girone D table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 11 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Lentigione | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 11 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Solbiatese | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Crema | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Correggese | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pontedera | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 11 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 11 | -19 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone D predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo?
Our pick is USD Casatese to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sant'Angelo 12%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
When is USD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo?
USD Casatese vs Sant'Angelo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.